Trump's unpredictability plunges UK leadership into uncertainty

In Florida, Donald Trump proclaimed a "tremendous win for the American populace" during a speech to his exuberant followers.

Political correspondent @BethRigby

Wednesday, November 6, 2024, 4:

Before it was confirmed, Sir Keir Starmer was quick to extend his congratulations to Donald Trump on Wednesday morning for his impending win, as the United States was still processing an election that initially seemed tightly contested but swiftly became a clear and decisive triumph.

The incoming president secured victories in the Electoral College, the popular vote, and the Senate.

The triumph holds significant implications, affecting not only a fragmented United States, which now sees a leader at its forefront who based his campaign on stoking fears, economic and social instability, and resentment, but also impacting the UK and Europe.

The US election has resulted in the selection of a decisive leader amid unstable conditions, and he takes office with substantial support. The way he decides to use this authority is significant for everyone.

The Labour administration will face a more challenging diplomatic situation than a Conservative government would have encountered.

Stay tuned for real-time coverage – Trump secures victory in

According to Donald Trump, despite their September dinner meeting at Trump Tower before the election, he and Sir Keir Starmer are an unlikely pairing.

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During a dinner conversation, he mentioned to the UK prime minister, "As a liberal, our views might not always align, but we can collaborate effectively."

Sir Keir, previously a human rights attorney and member of a party aligned with the Democrats, and Donald Trump, a forthright billionaire entrepreneur known for his deal-making prowess, seem like an unlikely pair.

Donald Trump places a high value on personal connections. He formed a good bond with Boris Johnson, but he didn't quite gel with Theresa May.

Sir Keir intends to remain composed and continue with his plans. Sources inform me that the Prime Minister believes "actions speak louder than words" when it comes to Trump.

It's clear that he isn't the top pick for the Labour leadership, yet the team at Number 10 is practical and has been planning for this scenario for several months.

"A senior official noted, 'There are always topics of mutual concern that go beyond partisan politics, similar to the unique alliance,'"

"Our stance is that the decision ultimately rests with the American public, who have decisively selected their preferred presidential candidate. It's our duty to ensure that this relationship benefits the UK's national interests."

"This is the reason the Prime Minister made it a point to dine with President Trump in September – and it turned out to be a highly effective meeting. Having that opportunity is fortunate as it means we are not beginning from the very beginning."

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The prime minister has dismissed several instances of potential conflict as minor, recognizing that it is not prudent to provoke further trouble.

En route to the Commonwealth summit in Samoa, President Trump's campaign team lodged a formal grievance against the Labour Party, alleging stark foreign meddling in the U.S. election to benefit the Harris campaign.

Following media coverage highlighting interactions between staff at Number 10 and the Harris team, as well as reported volunteer activities, this development occurred.

Sir Keir composedly dismissed worries and did not react to provocations, even though the Trump complaint directly implicated several of his top aides.

In recent months, Foreign Secretary David Lammy has dedicated a considerable amount of his time to engaging with Republicans, with his advocates claiming that these efforts have "yielded results."

"One supporter mentioned, 'He's become well-known and maintains a strong relationship with JD Vance.'"

Sources indicate that previous harsh critiques of President Trump by Mr. Lammy, including a time when he labeled Trump a "neo-Nazi sociopath," have since been overlooked.

"One insider emphasized that he will not harbor any resentment as long as he is treated respectfully during his tenure."

In the upcoming months, it will become clear if this is the case, but sources within the government have indicated to me that Sir Keir's decision to bring Mr Lammy to the Trump dinner in New York was intended as a way to gauge the situation.

"The evening went well. Had there been any problems, President Trump would have mentioned them," one individual noted.

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Sir Keir remained practical, but the overall atmosphere in the government was quite subdued on Wednesday, as London came to terms with Trump's victory.

Numerous Labour employees shifted their allegiance to back the Harris campaign, while various individuals from Starmer's group participated in the Democratic convention, continuing the longstanding practice between these two allied parties.

This government had hoped for a Democratic victory.

A source confided to me on Wednesday morning, expressing last-minute hopes that were dashed by the outcome: "I really held out hope until the very end that he wouldn't come out on top. But he did, and now we have to

Concerns are mounting in the UK regarding the implications of a potential second Trump presidency.

Initially, he proposed imposing universal trade tariffs ranging from 10% to 20% on all countries that do business with the U.S., but also suggested imposing even higher tariffs, up to 60%, specifically targeting China, America's main competitor.

Broad tariffs could impact billions of pounds worth of UK exports in the automotive, pharmaceutical, and alcohol sectors.

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Implications of Trump's Victory for the United Kingdom

A high-ranking official mentioned that although they have been simulating various scenarios, they remain uncertain about future developments. They observed that Trump's domestic political victory might embolden him further.

"A senior official noted, 'We are thoroughly prepared, yet one must acknowledge that unpredictability is a fundamental aspect of Trump.'"

"The UK isn't facing a trade deficit in goods with the US, which might keep us off his main target list. However, a political victory as comprehensive as this likely gives him a sense of complete validation."

These situations vary from severe trade conflicts to somewhat less aggressive trade restrictions, which the UK has already experienced under the Biden Administration's Inflation Reduction Act. This act aimed to attract companies to the US by offering extensive tax incentives worth hundreds of billions of dollars.

"The senior official noted that there might be a difference between his campaign statements and his actions once in office. They mentioned that the period leading up to his inauguration on January 20th presents a chance to make the case that tariffs could significantly affect the U.S. as well," the senior figure explained.

"It's difficult to determine the exact impact on us at this moment. There could be trade consequences, but it remains uncertain whether these will involve straightforward tariffs leading to a trade conflict with China that affects everyone, or simply minor protectionist measures, something the US has engaged in for some time."

"In a worst-case trade situation involving significant tariffs… should this occur, it would render the impact of Brexit as minor as a papercut."

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In the UK, being outside the EU and engaging in trade with China and the US, tariffs might become especially sharp and lead to internal challenges.

As a major trading country, imposing tariffs would significantly increase the prices of products.

"Implementing this would significantly alter our approach to dealing with China and Europe, and it could trigger reciprocal trade conflicts," said someone knowledgeable about the strategic planning.

"It compels us to make a decision. Should we orient ourselves more towards America, or should we turn more towards China?

"As a small trading nation, we find ourselves caught between major economic powers like the EU, China, and the US. This position leaves us particularly vulnerable, lacking major allies to align with, which could result in us facing significant pressure."

Additionally, it remains uncertain how uniform tariffs are connected to the highly praised trade agreement post-Brexit, which was once a focus for Trump but not for President Biden.

Currently, the Labour government has not specified whether or how they will reconsider their position, especially given Trump's protectionist policies and Labour's firm stance against privatizing NHS pharmaceutical services or allowing imports of genetically modified agricultural products.

The idea of imposing punitive tariffs to compel the UK to negotiate is exactly contrary to the government's desires.

Is it possible that a compromise exists?

A government representative suggests the possibility of collaboration in areas like security or technology, which would be less comprehensive than a complete trade agreement.

There is a possibility that dealmaker Trump could be receptive to such partnerships.

In terms of international relations, Donald Trump's presidency marks a substantial shift, and the British government is preparing for his unique style of diplomacy.

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Sources acknowledge that there is a great deal of uncertainty.

In this election, President Trump has concentrated primarily on the domestic issues of the US economy and border security, yet he has not explicitly outlined his strategies for engaging with global issues involving Ukraine, the Middle East, or China.

It's evident that during his initial term, Trump frequently clashed with longstanding allies, criticizing European nations for insufficient defense budgets and at times suggesting the possibility of withdrawing from NATO.

There is growing concern among some NATO countries that his comeback might result in a diminished American dedication to security in Europe and a halt to military assistance in Ukraine.

He has vowed to terminate the conflict if reelected, but has not detailed his plans for achieving this.

The same can be said for the conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza, as well as the war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Trump has vowed to achieve "peace" in the Middle East, yet he has not detailed his approach. Given his strong position on Iran, it's possible that Trump might enhance American military backing for Israel. Currently, the specifics remain vague.

During this period of change, the UK government aims to secure meetings with Trump and his advisors to advocate for the interests of both the UK and Europe.

Government sources also recognize that, following Trump's victory, there is an urgent need for European allies to boost their defense budgets.

"One UK official mentioned that their strategy would focus on his behavior instead of his statements."

"Trump met with Zelenskyy, who reaffirmed their 'productive talks' regarding the September victory strategy. However, we concur with his viewpoint that Europe should indeed increase its contributions [in terms of spending]."

Additionally, Sir Keir faces a domestic issue in this matter.

Will the success of Trump's distinctive populist and grievance-driven politics stoke similar sentiments in the UK?

The Labour Party is acutely aware of the challenge posed by the Reform Party, which secured five seats, finished as the runner-up in numerous constituencies, and garnered 14% of the total votes during the election in July.

Sir Keir's administration is aware that not fulfilling its commitments could lead to significant criticism.

There is also palpable concern within the government that Trump's victory in the US might fuel the rise of right-wing populism in Europe, particularly with Marine Le Pen currently leading the odds to be France's next president in 2027.

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President Trump has made it clear that his focus will be on domestic issues, as he reaffirmed in his victory speech his commitments to secure the US-Mexico border, deport millions of undocumented immigrants, and revitalize the US economy.

His commitments to the citizens of the United States also impact our lives.

His vow to implement broad tariffs in an effort to rejuvenate the U.S. manufacturing sector might impact our economy, and his commitment to pull back from America’s traditional role as a global enforcer towards a more isolationist stance could also jeopardize the security of Europe.

This marks the most significant political resurgence ever seen, plunging not only the United States but also its longstanding allies into uncharted territory.

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MP Mike Amesbury faces a common assault charge following an altercation on a street in Cheshire. Following the incident, he was suspended from the Labour Party and now serves as the independent MP for Runcorn and Helsby.

Political correspondent @alixculbertson

Thursday, November 7, 2024 1:12

Member of Parliament Mike Amesbury faces charges of common assault stemming from an event that occurred in Frodsham, Cheshire, the previous month.

The accusation follows the release of footage showing him allegedly knocking a man to the floor with a punch.

Cheshire Police announced that the 55-year-old individual is scheduled to appear in magistrates court at a future date to respond to the assault charge.

In an announcement, law enforcement officials stated that the accusation "is connected to allegations of an attack on a 45-year-old man located on Main Street, Frodsham, that was reported to the authorities at 2:48 am on Saturday, October 26."

Rosemary Ainslie, who leads the special crime division at the Crown Prosecution Service, stated: "After examining the evidence submitted by Cheshire Police, we have decided to charge Mike Amesbury MP, aged 55, with common assault.

The accusation stems from a reported attack that occurred in Frodsham, Cheshire, on Saturday, October 26, 2024.

"The Crown Prosecution Service emphasizes to all involved that criminal proceedings against the defendant are currently underway and that he is entitled to a fair trial."

In the UK, locals criticize lack of updates on hotel housing refugees, while the newcomers share stories of their harrowing trips.

Two individuals were discovered deceased following a residential fire in Coventry.

Princess Kate of Wales is set to participate in upcoming Remembrance ceremonies, while it remains uncertain if Queen Camilla will be present.

Stay updated on the most recent developments both in the UK and internationally by tuning into Sky News.

In a formal announcement, Mr. Amesbury expressed: "Today, I received a court summons to respond to an allegation of common assault stemming from an unfortunate event that occurred in Frodsham last month.

"I continue to collaborate with law enforcement and due to the active status of the investigation, I am unable to provide additional comments at this time."

Labour has suspended Mr. Amesbury, leading him to serve as an independent MP for Runcorn and Helsby.

A representative from the party stated that they would not be making any additional comments during the active legal process.

The House of Commons announced that Commons Speaker Sir Lindsay Hoyle has established a Risk Assessment Panel to review the matter.

A spokesperson for the House of Commons stated, "We do not provide comments on specific cases.

The House adheres to a specific procedure, outlined in Standing Order 164, to deliberate on penalties for members arrested under suspicion of committing violent or sexual offenses.

"Following that procedure, Mr. Speaker has established a Risk Assessment Panel."

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European heads of state grapple with Trump's victory at Budapest conference

Excluding the UK and several others, EU leaders gathered at today's summit will convene this evening over dinner to delve deeper into the evolving relationship across the Atlantic.

Political reporter @tamcohen

Thursday, November 7, 2024, 7:

Donald Trump did not deliver a video message to the European summit in Budapest today, despite reports that the host, Viktor Orban, had hoped for one. Nonetheless, his influence was palpable throughout the event.

UK and European officials deliberated on potential US tariffs, which might significantly affect the economy, as well as issues of migration and the situation in Ukraine, where shifts in U.S. leadership could influence the war's direction.

Allies expressed their solidarity with Kyiv through messages. Keir Starmer, among the 42 national leaders present, held a one-on-one discussion with President Zelenskyy, affirming the UK's unwavering support.

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European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen spoke more explicitly, emphasizing that it benefits all European nations to demonstrate to the world's autocrats that might does not make right, and to protect the sovereignty of nations.

Orban, who is known as Trump's main supporter in Europe and celebrated the election outcome with vodka, is the only one advocating for talks with Vladimir Putin.

Trump, who claimed he could end the conflict "in 24 hours" if re-elected, is suspected of intending to coerce Zelenskyy into ceding land to conclude the war.

The prevailing sentiment among attendees was a strong commitment to support Ukraine, though concerns were raised about Europe's capability to fully deliver on that promise.

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EU leaders, with the exception of the UK and some others who are not present today, will convene for a dinner meeting tonight to discuss the new trans-Atlantic relationship more thoroughly.

The European Political Community, convening for its fifth session, was established following Russia's incursion into Ukraine. It serves as a platform for the EU to engage with broader allies like the UK, Turkey, and nations in the Caucasus to address major security issues, including conflict and irregular migration.

This piece, reflecting on the significant implications of the US election outcome, conveyed more urgent calls regarding financial commitments. It emphasized the necessity for nations to increase their defense spending should the US reduce its involvement in European security.

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NATO's newly appointed Secretary General, Mark Rutte, stated that Trump was justified in compelling member nations to contribute their fair share, leading to a significant increase in defense spending. Currently, 22 out of the 32 member countries are allocating 2% of their GDP towards defense, which is twice the amount compared to two years ago.

However, not everyone is satisfied, and Sir Keir has encountered inquiries domestically regarding the timeline for fulfilling his campaign pledge to allocate 2.5% of the budget. He expressed satisfaction today about the recent increase in funding, yet the detailed plan to reach that goal remains vague.

Zelenskyy conveyed to journalists at the conference that he thinks Trump desires a swift conclusion to the conflict, yet he warned that attempting to do so before establishing security assurances for Ukraine could be "very dangerous".

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The German defense minister, who convened with his French counterpart shortly after Trump's victory, expressed before the summit that the predicament posed by the US was evident: "Their capacity to engage in Europe will diminish. We must bridge this shortfall to enhance our deterrence credibility."

Europe faces additional security challenges, such as sporadic immigration, an issue on which Keir Starmer is striving to rally collective efforts to demonstrate that his commitment to curbing small boat crossings is achievable.

However, it was clear that leaders were experiencing the reverberations of what might be a significant change with long-lasting effects.

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How is Starmer preparing for President Trump's visit?

Thursday, November 7, 2024, 07:54, UK

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Sky News' assistant political editor Sam Coates and Politico's Jack Blanchard deliver a daily overview of the upcoming political events in less than 20 minutes.

As the world grapples with the implications of Donald Trump winning a second term, what are the initial worldwide effects? Jack and Sam explore how global leaders are responding to this development during their meet-up at a summit in Budapest, which is organized by Trump's ally, Viktor Orban.

What are the financial implications of the tariffs Trump has suggested? How will they affect Ukraine? What impact will they have on politics within the United States? How are Labour Party members in the UK reconciling their previous comments about the individual with the actualities of governing?

Reach out to Jack and Sam via WhatsApp at 07511 867 633, or contact them through email at jackandsam@sky.uk.

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What preparations will Starmer make for President Trump's visit?

Thursday, November 7, 2024, 07:54, UK

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Sky News' assistant political editor Sam Coates and Politico's Jack Blanchard present a daily rundown of political events, all in less than 20 minutes.

As the prospect of Donald Trump securing a second term as president becomes more certain, what are the immediate worldwide implications? Jack and Sam explore the range of responses from international leaders as they convene for a conference in Budapest, which is organized by Trump ally Viktor Orban.

What are the financial impacts of the tariffs suggested by Trump? How will they affect Ukraine? What implications will they have for local politics in the US? How are members of the UK's Labour Party reconciling their previous comments about the leader with the practicalities of governing?

You can contact Jack and Sam via WhatsApp at 07511 867 633 or through their email: jackandsam@sky.uk

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Authorities discover four bodies in the Channel, over 50 migrants saved

Officials have initiated a probe, though it has not been confirmed by French authorities whether the deceased were migrants.

By Tomos Evans, news correspondent

Thursday, November 7, 2024, 1:

Authorities discovered four deceased individuals in the English Channel, alongside the rescue of over 50 migrants.

French officials reported that 51 individuals were saved following an incident involving a boat off the coast of Audresselles in northern France late Monday night.

On Tuesday, a ferry crew spotted a body in the sea near Calais, triggering a search that resulted in the finding of an additional body.

The French maritime authorities reported that on Wednesday, two additional bodies were discovered in the sea near Calais.

The remains of four individuals have been recovered and brought to land, prompting the initiation of an investigation. Authorities have not yet determined if the deceased were migrants.

Recent government data released on Thursday reveals that over 3,000 migrants have reached the UK via Channel crossings in the past two weeks.

Between October 24 and November 6, a record 3,197 individuals made the journey across the Channel, marking the highest fortnightly total of the year.

Starmer stakes his leadership on addressing gang issues

Local Communities Reporter

Sir Keir Starmer has staked his leadership on dismantling human trafficking networks to decrease the number of small boat arrivals.

This week marks the government's focus on the 'small boats issue,' featuring a series of appearances and announcements from the prime minister detailing his strategies for addressing it.

Sir Keir faces significant pressure to propose a feasible alternative to the recently abandoned Rwanda strategy.

His approach focuses on dismantling gang operations using intelligence-driven tactics, similar to counterterrorism methods.

At an Interpol gathering in Glasgow on Monday, the Prime Minister announced plans to double the investment in its Border Security Command, introducing advanced maritime drones and adding specialized investigators as part of new strategic measures.

There are significant concerns regarding the sufficiency of funds allocated for the plan.

The prime minister has now finalized an agreement in Hungary with nations from the Western Balkans to enhance the exchange of intelligence.

However, for these collaborative agreements to be successful, they must include countries far beyond the Balkans, specifically Spain, Italy, and Greece.

Over 31,000 migrants have traversed the channel since the start of the year, marking a 17 percent increase compared to the same timeframe last year, yet these figures don't point to any quick-fix solution.

The prime minister is targeting criminal gangs. However, these gangs originate from various countries, and as long as there is demand, criminals will continue to supply it.

Previous administrations have invested substantial amounts in efforts to halt human trafficking operations before migrants reach the northern shores of France, yet these measures have proven ineffective.

Many hold the view that the sole method to prevent asylum seekers from engaging with human trafficking networks is by creating disincentives and rendering the UK a less appealing destination.

In pursuit of these goals, the persistent issues continue to include terminating the use of hotels for asylum accommodation, halting unauthorized employment in underground economies, and expediting the deportation process. All of these challenges are formidable.

The Home Office reported that 263 individuals crossed the Channel in four boats on Wednesday.

This brings the cumulative total for the year to date to 31,535.

This represents an 18% rise from the same period last year (26,699), yet a 21% decrease from 2022's record peak of 39,929.

Stay updated with the newest developments from the UK and globally by tuning into Sky News.

The French maritime authorities report that around 50 individuals have lost their lives this year attempting to navigate the Channel.

In a session at the House of Commons, the recently assigned shadow home secretary, Mr. Philp, lambasted the government for abandoning the Conservative party's proposals on immigration, which included deporting migrants to Rwanda.

"If they had permitted that flight to proceed, if they had let the plan carry on, the deterrent impact would have begun by this point," he stated.

The International Organization for Migration (IOM) has reported eleven additional deaths presumed to be connected to crossing attempts, although these have not yet been included in the official government statistics.

Charitable organizations have stated that fatalities in the Channel are alarmingly frequent and have urged for additional measures to establish safer pathways for migrants.

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Sir Keir Starmer will be in Hungary on Thursday to meet with leaders from the Western Balkans, and he plans to advocate for stronger relationships to combat human trafficking networks.

Before the discussions, the prime minister stated that the UK would play a central role in combating the menace of organized crime related to immigration.

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Increased national insurance contributions for employers will lead to an additional £140 million in expenses for Sainsbury's and are expected to contribute to inflationary pressures, according to CEO Simon Roberts. He noted that it is "premature to detail" the effects on Sainsbury’s employees, but acknowledged that challenging choices are on the horizon due to escalating costs.

Business correspondent @taaffems

Thursday, November 7, 2024, 10:

The CEO of one of the UK’s largest supermarket chains stated that the new budget policies will incur costs of £140 million for the company.

Sainsbury's CEO, Simon Roberts, stated that the increase in employer's national insurance contributions, as declared by Chancellor Rachel Reeves in last week's budget, will incur an additional expense of £140 million for the company starting in April.

Mr. Roberts did not specify a cost for the increase in the national minimum wage, but he indicated that the new policies would lead to a rise in inflation, which is the rate at which prices increase overall.

Sainsbury's, the second biggest supermarket in the UK in terms of market share, lacks the ability to handle a surge in expenses, according to Mr. Roberts, meaning prices for consumers are set to increase.

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He referred to insights from the independent forecasting group, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), which indicated that the measures announced by Ms. Reeves would likely lead to higher inflation than initially expected. He noted that it was "hard to argue against" this assessment.

Mr. Roberts stated, "The effect on national insurance has taken us by surprise and is rapidly unfolding. It will have a profound impact, affecting both our cost structure and that of our suppliers."

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When questioned about the impact of increasing minimum wages and higher national insurance contributions on inflation, Mr. Roberts noted that inflation was already escalating, indicating significant existing pressures likely to drive prices up further.

Learn more: Major retailers confront challenges with rising food costs following fiscal plan adjustments

Mr. Roberts expressed his anticipation of a decrease in business rates, stating, "I was really expecting the business rates to drop this year; it was surprising to hear they're not only going to increase this year but also continue rising next year."

How does this impact employees?

In response to inquiries about potential effects on Sainsbury's employees, Mr. Roberts acknowledged that the company faced "challenging choices ahead," though he noted it was "premature to provide details."

At the start of this week, JD Wetherspoon, the owner of over 1,000 pubs throughout the UK, announced that the new budget would increase its expenses by £60 million next year. Meanwhile, Marks & Spencer predicts a financial impact of £120 million due to the budget.

Altering routines

On Thursday morning, Sainsbury's revealed that the trend of doing a large weekly grocery shop is making a comeback as more individuals return to office work.

Stay informed with the most recent developments from the UK and globally by tuning into Sky News.

Mr. Roberts also noted that due to increased prices at restaurants, more individuals are choosing to dine at home.

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The UK has imposed sanctions on a Russian military officer allegedly involved in the Salisbury novichok attack, as part of a broader effort to target the Kremlin. The sanctions also extend to numerous individuals and organizations connected to Russia, with businesses in China, Turkey, and Central Asia that provide components for military hardware utilized in Ukraine being targeted as well.

Political journalist @alixculbertson

Thursday, November 7, 2024 12:42

The UK has imposed sanctions on a Russian military officer alleged to have assisted in the novichok poisoning of ex-double agent Sergei Skripal in Salisbury.

The Foreign Office has announced 56 new sanctions targeting individuals and organizations associated with Russia, encompassing members of the unofficial Wagner mercenary group working for Vladimir Putin, as well as entities in China, Turkey, and Central Asia that provide components to Russia.

Denis Sergeev, who has been charged by the Met Police for the attempted assassination of the former double agent Mr. Skripal, has faced sanctions under the chemical weapons sanctions program.

The decision to impose sanctions now is intended to demonstrate solidarity with European leaders during this week’s summit on Ukraine.

Latest in Politics: Trump's Win Takes Center Stage at European Summit

"The Foreign Office stated that Sergeev assisted in the preparation and deployment of the chemical agent novichok in Salisbury, and played a coordinating role in London during the weekend when the attack occurred."

In March 2018, Mr. Skripal and his daughter Yulia were discovered unresponsive on a public seat in Salisbury, Wiltshire.

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Authorities have stated that the nerve agent novichok was used on the front door of his residence.

Three Russian nationals, identified by authorities as officers from the GRU military intelligence service, have been indicted in absentia in connection to the event.

Sergeev was the final individual to face charges, with authorities stating he operated using the pseudonym Sergey Fedotov.

An official investigation into the tragic demise of Dawn Sturgess, who was inadvertently poisoned by a perfume bottle laced with novichok, received testimony that Mr. Skripal was convinced that Mr. Putin had orchestrated the assault against him.

Moscow has consistently denied claims from Britain that the Kremlin had any involvement.

Testimony revealed that the novichok contained within the perfume bottle could have been lethal to thousands of individuals.

The new round of sanctions also targets firms that provide military equipment to Russia, which is being used in its conflict with Ukraine.

A total of ten Chinese firms, along with a few companies from Turkey, Estonia, Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan, have been identified for their role in supplying and manufacturing machine tools, microelectronics, and drone components utilized by Russia in Ukraine.

Learn more: Trump's erratic behavior leads the UK government into uncharted territory. Israeli attacks in Lebanon result in 40 deaths.

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Mercenary organizations based in Russia and active in sub-Saharan Africa, which have connections to the Russian government, are also included on the list.

The Foreign Office has accused them of destabilizing peace and security in Libya, Mali, and the Central African Republic, as well as perpetrating extensive human rights violations throughout Africa.

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Foreign Secretary David Lammy stated, "The actions taken today will further counteract the Kremlin's harmful international strategies, thwarting Russia's efforts to incite unrest throughout Africa and impeding the provision of essential supplies for Putin's military operations."

"Breaking apart the illegal global networks that Russia has diligently built."

Nearly 1,000 days have passed in a conflict that President Putin anticipated would last merely days. He will not succeed, and I will persist in exerting pressure on the Kremlin while backing the Ukrainian populace in their struggle for liberty.

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Bank of England attributes upcoming inflation increases to Chancellor Rachel Reeves's latest budget measures announced in October.

Business and economics reporter @pkelso

Thursday, November 7, 2024, at 7

The Bank of England predicts that the initial budget presented by Chancellor Rachel Reeves will boost inflation by as much as 0.5 percentage points in the coming two years, resulting in a more gradual reduction in interest rates than initially anticipated.

The Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has declared a reduction in the base rate by 0.25 percentage points, bringing it down to 4.75%. Additionally, the MPC now predicts that inflation will consistently meet the 2% target by the first half of 2027, which is a year later than previously estimated.

"The MPC noted in its minutes that since their last gathering, there has been a significant upward adjustment in the market's expected trajectory for the UK Bank rate."

Decline in interest rates – recent developments

The quarterly Monetary Policy Report from the Bank indicates that Ms. Reeves's financial strategy, involving £70 billion in taxes and borrowing, is likely to drive up prices and contribute to a 0.75% rise in GDP for the following year.

Governor Andrew Bailey emphasized that the prevailing pattern remains one of ongoing disinflationary progress.

He stated, "Today's reduction in interest rates is noteworthy given the current news. While there is a slight increase in inflation, we believe the inflation trajectory we've outlined will meet our target by the designated timeline. This has bolstered our decision to lower rates today."

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Bank of England Highlights the Political Costs of Inflation to the Chancellor

UK financial plans lessen chances of steep rate reductions, economists state

Highest monthly approval of mortgages following Liz Truss's mini-budget

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"Currently, inflation is slightly under our target of 2%, enabling us to reduce interest rates once more," Mr. Bailey stated.

"It's crucial to keep inflation near our goal, which means we must avoid reducing interest rates too rapidly or significantly. However, assuming the economy develops according to our projections, we anticipate a steady decline in interest rates moving forward."

The Monetary Policy Committee, with an 8-1 majority, endorsed the reduction, though one member preferred keeping the rate steady at 5%. The committee consistently held the position that interest rates should decrease "gradually," keeping a close watch on the economy's reaction to declining inflation.

What are the reasons for the increase

The Bank predicts that price increases will start in the early months of next year, following the implementation of VAT on private school tuition and the rise of the bus fare limit by £1 to £3.

The hike in employer national insurance to 15%, the most significant item in the budget, is expected to exert a slight inflationary pressure, balanced by the decision to maintain current fuel duty rates.

Collectively, these factors are expected to increase inflation by 0.3 percentage points in the coming year. The highest impact, nearly half a percentage point, is anticipated in 2026 following the expected end of the fuel duty freeze. This is an assumption the Bank must make, even though the freeze has been continuously upheld for 11 years by various chancellors, including Ms. Reeves.

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The Bank has determined that the rise in national insurance and the adjustment in the national living wage are expected to raise employment costs overall. Employers are likely to offset these costs by a combination of raising prices, adjusting margins, and increasing wages, although it is not yet certain how these factors will be balanced.

"The minutes indicate that the initiatives introduced in the autumn Budget 2024 are tentatively predicted to enhance GDP by approximately 0.75% at their maximum impact within a year, compared to the forecasts made in August."

"The forecast suggests that the budget will likely increase the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation by almost 0.5% at its highest point, due to the combined effects of reduced excess supply and direct consequences stemming from the budget's provisions."

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Bank of England predicts higher inflation due to recent budget, despite lower interest rates

The Bank of England has linked anticipated increases in inflation to measures introduced in Chancellor Rachel Reeves's budget this October.

Business and economics reporter @pkelso

Thursday, November 7, 2024, 7:

The Bank of England predicts that the initial budget unveiled by Rachel Reeves as Chancellor may boost inflation by as much as 0.5 percentage points in the coming two years, leading to a more gradual reduction in interest rates than earlier anticipated.

The Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has declared a reduction in the base rate by 0.25 percentage points, bringing it down to 4.75%. Additionally, the MPC now predicts that inflation will consistently reach the target of 2% by the first half of 2027, which is a delay of one year from previous projections.

"The minutes from the Monetary Policy Committee's recent meeting indicated a significant upward adjustment in the market's expectations for the Bank of England's rate path," the MPC noted.

Updates on Decline in Interest Rates

The Bank’s latest quarterly Monetary Policy Report indicates that Ms. Reeves's financial strategy, involving £70 billion in tax adjustments and borrowing, is likely to push prices higher. Additionally, it is expected to contribute to a 0.75% boost in GDP for the following year.

Governor Andrew Bailey emphasized that the fundamental pattern remained one of "ongoing deflationary progress."

He stated, "Today we implemented a reduction in interest rates, which is noteworthy in light of current events. Indeed, this may temporarily push inflation higher, but according to our projections, inflation should realign with our target by the designated timeframe. This outlook has underpinned our decision to lower rates today."

Further Details on Bank of England

Bank of England Warns Chancellor About the Political Costs of Inflation

UK financial plans lessen chances of steep rate reductions, economists state

Highest monthly mortgage approvals recorded since the mini-budget under Liz Truss

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"Inflation is currently slightly under our target of 2%, allowing us to reduce interest rates once more," Mr. Bailey stated.

"Maintaining inflation near our target is crucial, which means we must be cautious about reducing interest rates too rapidly or significantly. However, should the economy progress as anticipated, we foresee a steady decline in interest rates moving forward."

The Monetary Policy Committee, which saw an 8-1 majority supporting the reduction, with the lone dissenter advocating to keep the rate steady at 5%, upheld its stance that interest rates should decrease "gradually" while it observes how the economy reacts to declining inflation.

What causes inflation to increase?

The Bank predicts that price increases will start in the early months of next year, driven by the implementation of VAT on private school tuition and the raising of the maximum bus fare by £1 to £3.

The rise in employer national insurance to 15%, the most significant component of the budget, is expected to slightly boost inflation, balanced by the decision to maintain fuel duty rates at their current levels.

Combined, these factors are expected to increase inflation by 0.3 percentage points in the coming year, reaching a peak increase of nearly half a percentage point in 2026. This projection occurs following the anticipated end of the fuel duty freeze, an event the Bank must consider, even though multiple chancellors, including Ms. Reeves, have extended it for 11 years.

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The Bank has determined that the rise in national insurance and the adjustment to the national living wage are expected to raise employment costs. Employers are likely to offset these costs by a combination of raising prices, adjusting marginal costs, and increasing wages, although the exact distribution of these adjustments remains uncertain.

"The minutes indicated that, following the implementation of the policies introduced in the Autumn Budget 2024, GDP is tentatively predicted to rise by approximately 0.75% at its highest point within the next year, compared to the projections made in August."

"The anticipated budget is projected to increase the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation by nearly 0.5 percentage points at its highest, due to the combined indirect effects of a reduced surplus supply and the direct influences of the budget's provisions."

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Hearing for Commissioner-Designate Andrius Kubilius

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During a session on Wednesday, the committees responsible for Foreign Affairs as well as Industry, Research, and Energy conducted an inquiry with Andrius Kubilius, the nominee from Lithuania, regarding the Defence and Space position.

In his opening remarks, Mr. Kubilius emphasized the pressing and ongoing issues confronting European defense. These include existential threats like traditional warfare, hybrid assaults, and the weaponization of space. He also pointed out the considerable lack of investment in defense, the highly divided European defense equipment market, and how strategic competitors like China and Russia are “surpassing us” in defense spending. To tackle these issues, he called on MEPs to back his initiative to establish a true European Defence Union. The EU, while not vying with NATO, should assist in developing the capabilities and resources essential for executing NATO's military deterrence and defense strategies.

If confirmed, Mr. Kubilius promises to introduce a white paper on the future of European defense within his first 100 days in office. The goal is to establish a fresh strategy for defense and pinpoint necessary investments to achieve comprehensive European defense capabilities. He emphasized the importance of increasing defense spending efficiently and collaboratively within Europe, boosting EU defense equipment production and demand, using the EU budget to address critical defense priorities, and easing cross-border defense procurement. "We must create a genuine single market for defense," he stated.

Regarding space, Mr. Kubilius emphasized the importance of Europe participating in the ongoing "space revolution." He highlighted the necessity of pushing forward with the EU's leading space initiatives, securing Europe's independent access to space, proposing new European space legislation, and bolstering the EU space sector's competitiveness.

Protection, robustness, and readiness

Members of the European Parliament (MEPs) emphasized the importance of understanding defence, resilience, and preparedness within the context of crises such as the pandemic and the recent devastating floods in Spain. They inquired about creating incentives for member states to increase their defence spending and improving the financial support for boosting production capacities through the European Defence Industry Programme (EDIP). Mr. Kubilius replied that, although costly, being prepared is more economical than confronting a crisis unprepared. Regarding financing, he suggested that the European Investment Bank should adapt its lending policies and that the upcoming multiannual financial framework should allocate more funds for defence and space initiatives. He further noted that even a modest increase in the defence budgets of member states could have a substantial impact at the EU level.

Increase defense spending, driven by concerns over Putin rather than Trump.

Several Members of the European Parliament inquired about the Commissioner-designate's stance on prioritizing the procurement of defense equipment from Europe. Mr. Kubilius emphasized the importance of maintaining a robust and competitive industrial foundation in Europe over the long term, stating that increased spending is necessary, not due to former President Trump, but because of President Putin.

A number of Members of the European Parliament expressed worries that a European Union military force might take the place of individual national armies. Mr. Kubilius clarified that the EU's purpose is to promote collective sovereignty and joint responsibility. The EU aims to support member countries in achieving goals collectively that would be difficult for any one nation to accomplish alone.

Media briefing

Following the conclusion of the hearing, David McAllister from Germany, who chairs the Foreign Affairs Committee, and Borys Budka from Poland, head of the Industry, Research and Energy Committee, addressed reporters outside the meeting room. A video of their statements is available for viewing.

Future actions

The committee leaders and heads of political groups are set to convene promptly to evaluate the competence and credentials of the individual nominated for the Commissioner position.

Following the committee's suggestions, the Conference of Presidents, which includes EP President Metsola and the leaders of political groups, plans to complete the final assessment and officially conclude the hearings on November 21. After the Conference of Presidents has confirmed the conclusion of all hearings, the evaluation letters will be made public.

Members of the European Parliament are set to vote on the entire group of Commissioners, with the election requiring a majority of roll-call votes. This vote is planned for the plenary session in Strasbourg, which is slated to occur between November 25th and 28th.

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Commissioner-Designate Olivér Várhelyi's Hearing

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On Wednesday evening, Olivér Várhelyi, the Hungarian nominee for the Health and Animal Welfare role, was interrogated by two committees from the European Parliament.

Várhelyi began by stating his intention to enhance public health by expanding the EU Health Union. His focus will be on preventive healthcare, ensuring access to essential treatments and medications, and supporting the growth of clinical research within Europe. He also pledged to implement the "One Health" strategy, which integrates the well-being of humans, animals, and the environment.

Essential drugs, battle against cancer and heart diseases

The proposed Commissioner emphasized his dedication to finalizing the EU's pharmaceutical reforms and enhancing them with a new Critical Medicines Act. Additionally, Mr. Várhelyi plans to introduce a European Biotech Act to foster innovation and intends to initiate updates to the regulations concerning EU medical devices and tobacco products.

He highlighted the significance of putting the EU Beating Cancer Plan into action and vowed to introduce a comparable strategy to address heart-related ailments. Once officially appointed, he plans to tackle several urgent health challenges, such as addressing mental health problems in young people and fighting against antimicrobial resistance. Additionally, he will focus on the effective enforcement of current laws, particularly concerning the European Health Data Space and regulations on health threats that cross national borders.

Standards for Food Security and Animal Welfare in the

Emphasizing the Commission's upcoming "Vision for Agriculture and Food," Mr. Várhelyi committed to reducing the dangers associated with pesticides, encouraging the use of alternatives to chemicals, and upholding the EU’s rigorous food safety standards. He assured the public that foods brought into the EU adhere to stringent criteria.

Upon confirmation, he expressed his intention to engage with farmers on methods to enhance animal welfare and eliminate the practice of keeping animals in cages. Additionally, he pledged to boost the accessibility of effective substitutes for pesticides for agricultural workers.

Members of the European Parliament inquired about various issues, such as the approval process for vaccines in the EU, rights related to sexual and reproductive health, patient rights and instances of discrimination, obstacles to cross-border healthcare, fair access to medical services, and enhancing the competitiveness of the EU's healthcare sector.

They inquired about the upcoming specific measures to secure food availability in the EU, the labeling of farm products, new food innovations, and strategies to prevent and manage animal disease outbreaks.

The entire hearing is available to view in a video recording.

Future actions

The leaders and coordinators representing the political groups within the Environment, Public Health and Food Safety Committee, along with those from the Agriculture and Rural Development Committee, are set to convene promptly. Their aim is to evaluate the abilities and credentials of the individual nominated for the position of Commissioner.

Following the suggestions put forward by the committee, the Conference of Presidents—which includes EP President Metsola and the leaders of the political groups—plans to make a concluding assessment and officially close the hearings on November 21. After the Conference of Presidents finalizes the closure of all hearings, the assessment letters will be made public.

Members of the European Parliament are expected to vote on the entire group of Commissioners during a roll-call session, with the decision requiring a majority of the votes cast. This vote is planned for the plenary meeting in Strasbourg from November 25 to 28.

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