US election overview

Thursday, November 7, 2024, 17:44, UK

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Beth, Ruth, and Harriet analyze the implications of Donald Trump's re-election for the United Kingdom as they discuss the outcomes of the U.S. elections.

Information was received from a former adviser to Theresa May about their experiences with Trump during his most recent term in the White House, and Harriet provides guidance to Sir Keir Starmer.

She states: "It's essential that we extend a state visit invitation to him… this is crucial for our economic and security interests."

They also describe how his strategies for trade agreements might negatively impact the British economy and discuss the implications of his leadership for the conflict in Ukraine.

Additionally, there is an opportunity to review Kemi Badenoch's inaugural PMQs session as the leader of the Conservatives.

Reach out to us by email at electoraldysfunction@sky.uk, share your thoughts on X by tagging @BethRigby, or send a voice note via WhatsApp to 07934 200 444.

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Baroness Harriet Harman suggests that Starmer should accept the situation and extend a state visit invitation to Donald Trump. The Prime Minister has offered congratulations to the newly elected president of the United States, despite having earlier criticized his remarks as "utterly repulsive."

Political journalist @alixculbertson

Thursday, November 7, 2024, 9:

Labour peer Harriet Harman has stated that Sir Keir Starmer should accept the situation and extend a state visit invitation to Donald Trump following his victory in the US election.

The prime minister extended his congratulations to Mr. Trump on his recent win on Wednesday, mentioning that since they had dinner together a few weeks earlier, he anticipates collaborating with him in the upcoming years.

In the past, he wasn’t always so meticulous with his language; back in 2016, he described Mr. Trump's remarks about Mexican immigrants, Muslims, and women as "absolutely repugnant."

Latest in Politics: Farage Proposes Assistance to Prime Minister for Trump Relations

In her inaugural appearance at Prime Minister's Questions as the new Conservative leader, Kemi Badenoch questioned the Prime Minister about whether Foreign Secretary David Lammy had issued an apology to Mr. Trump for labeling him a "racist KKK and Nazi sympathiser."

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On the Electoral Dysfunction podcast, Baroness Harman expressed that Sir Keir and Mr. Trump are expected to hold their positions for the upcoming four years, emphasizing that the U.S. plays a crucial role in our economic and security interests.

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"We just have to face it, endure, and move forward," she stated.

Baroness Harman described feeling slightly uncomfortable when Sir Keir extended his congratulations to Mr. Trump, noting, "He was right to do that."

She also stated that Mr. Trump should be extended an invitation for a state visit to the UK.

"She insisted that he should be given the opportunity to speak before both chambers of parliament."

"The United States plays a crucial role in both our economic and security frameworks."

During their 2019 state visit to the UK, Mr. Trump and his wife, Melania, encountered protests, including the presence of a balloon depicting Mr. Trump as a baby.

He received a reception from the then Prime Minister Theresa May shortly before her resignation.

Two years prior, Mrs. May had extended an invitation to him for a visit to the UK just a week following his inauguration, but she was taken aback when he expressed his reluctance to proceed with the state visit in the face of potential large-scale protests.

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Baroness Harriet Harman insists that Starmer must endure and extend an invitation for a state visit to Donald Trump. While the prime minister has acknowledged the U.S. president-elect's win, he has also previously criticized his remarks as "utterly abhorrent."

Political correspondent @alixculbertson

Thursday, November 7, 2024, 9:

Labour peer Harriet Harman has stated that Sir Keir Starmer should accept and extend a state visit invitation to Donald Trump following his victory in the US election.

The prime minister extended congratulations to Mr. Trump on his recent Wednesday win, mentioning that after sharing a dinner with him several weeks prior, he is eager to collaborate in the forthcoming years.

In the past, he didn't always select his words with such precision, notably in 2016 when he labeled Mr. Trump's remarks on topics like Mexican immigrants, Muslims, and women as "absolutely repugnant."

Latest in Politics: Farage Proposes Assistance to Prime Minister for Trump Relations

In her debut at Prime Minister's Questions as the new Conservative leader, Kemi Badenoch questioned the Prime Minister on whether Foreign Secretary David Lammy had issued an apology to Mr. Trump for previously labeling him as a "racist KKK and Nazi sympathiser."

👉 Tap here to subscribe to Electoral Dysfunction on your preferred podcast platform 👈

Baroness Harman mentioned on the Electoral Dysfunction podcast that both Sir Keir and Mr. Trump are expected to hold their positions for the next four years, emphasizing that the United States plays a crucial role in our economic and security interests.

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"We need to face the challenges head-on, endure the hardships, and move forward," she stated.

Baroness Harman described feeling a slight discomfort and unease when Sir Keir congratulated Mr. Trump, but she acknowledged that his decision to do so was correct.

She mentioned that Mr. Trump should be extended an invitation for a state visit to the UK.

"She stated that he needs to be invited to speak before both chambers of parliament."

"The United States plays a crucial role in both our economic stability and our national security."

During their 2019 state visit to the UK, Mr. Trump and his wife, Melania, were greeted by demonstrators, including the presence of a giant balloon depicting Trump as a baby.

He was received by the then-Prime Minister Theresa May shortly before her resignation.

Two years earlier, Mrs. May had extended an invitation for a state visit to the UK just a week following his inauguration. However, she was taken aback when he expressed his reluctance to proceed with the visit if it were to be met with significant public demonstrations.

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Is it possible for a Labour Prime Minister to maintain a good relationship with a Republican U.S. President?

Historical tensions have existed long before claims of interference by Starmer's Labour Party in the Trump-Harris race, with the Conservative Party previously alleged to have engaged in underhanded tactics during the 1992 U.S. presidential election between Bill Clinton and George HW Bush

Lead political reporter @joncraig

Friday, November 8, 2024, 6:

Is it possible for a Labour Prime Minister to have a good relationship with a Republican President of the United States? Conversely, can a Conservative Prime Minister effectively collaborate with a Democratic U.S. President?

Definitely, without a doubt.

Numerous instances illustrate a strong relationship and tight connection between a Labour Prime Minister and a Republican President, and the reverse is also true.

Indeed, leaders from seemingly rival political factions have found common ground over surprisingly mundane things, such as cigars, toothpaste, and burgers.

Relationships between prime ministers and presidents from the two allied parties have not always been smooth. They've encountered significant disagreements over issues such as the Suez crisis, the Vietnam War, and the invasion of Grenada.

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Yet no British Labour prime minister has ever encountered the unique difficulties in preserving the "special relationship" with a Republican president that Sir Keir Starmer is currently facing.

Current divisions between Downing Street and the White House extend beyond mere policy disagreements on topics like trade tariffs, Ukraine, Israel, defense budgets, Brexit, and climate change.

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An incoming president has never previously encountered such fierce criticism from top officials of a UK government as that directed at him by prominent figures in Sir Keir's cabinet.

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He has been labeled a "racist KKK and neo-Nazi sympathizer" by David Lammy in 2017, described as an "odious, sad little man" by Wes Streeting in the same year, and called "a racist misogynistic, self-confessed groper" by Ed Miliband in 2018. These are just a few examples.

In addition, the Republican Party lodged a formal complaint last month when nearly a hundred aides from the Labour Party traveled to the US to support Kamala Harris, accusing them of clear foreign meddling in the presidential race.

Opponents, spearheaded by the recently appointed Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch, have charged Sir Keir and his party with engaging in immature political tactics by antagonizing the world's most influential leader, who is also known for being particularly spiteful.

Eight decades ago, things were quite distinct, with some critics arguing that the politicians of that era were true statesmen.

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The term "special relationship" to denote the partnership between the United Kingdom and the United States was originally introduced by Winston Churchill during a 1946 address in Missouri, where he also introduced the term "the Iron Curtain".

The address was opened by President Harry Truman, a member of the Democratic Party, who previously joined Churchill at the Potsdam Conference in 1945 to discuss how to conclude World War II.

They shared a close friendship, often exchanging handwritten letters and referring to each other by their first names, Harry and Winston. Truman holds the distinction of being the only U.S. president to visit Churchill at his family residence, Chartwell.

Churchill also shared a strong connection with another Democratic president, Franklin D. Roosevelt. Their deep friendship during World War II was often hailed as a relationship that preserved global peace.

One factor contributing to their great rapport was their shared reputation as avid cigar aficionados. Similar to Churchill, Roosevelt's penchant for cigars became a notable aspect of his public image once he assumed the presidency.

Following Winston Churchill's close relationships with Democratic U.S. Presidents, his Conservative successor, Anthony Eden, experienced a significant falling out with Republican President Dwight Eisenhower during the Suez Crisis in the mid-1950s.

It was under the leadership of the reserved and aloof Conservative Prime Minister Harold Macmillan and the charming Democratic President John F. Kennedy that the strained relations were mended, despite their apparent lack of similarities.

"In their collaborative efforts, they mended the crucial alliance that was damaged by the Suez Crisis, during a period marked by unprecedented global strain," noted British writer Christopher Sandford in his book Harold And Jack, chronicling the extraordinary bond between Prime Minister Macmillan and President Kennedy.

In the early 1960s, the world faced perilous circumstances, not unlike today's challenges. During that era, significant threats included the construction of the Berlin Wall, the Cuban Missile Crisis, and the looming danger of nuclear warfare.

"Throughout their interactions, the pair of leaders shared more than just official communications; they also exchanged a consistent stream of personal handwritten notes, holiday and birthday greetings, words of congratulations, and sometimes even expressions of sympathy," Sandford noted.

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The partnership was suddenly terminated in 1963 due to "Supermac's" downfall following the John Profumo sex scandal, and just a month later, the assassination of JFK in Dallas.

According to the Washington Post, Macmillan was captivated by Jacqueline Kennedy, much like others who were drawn to the Kennedys. It appears she willingly developed a father-daughter bond with him that continued well beyond the death of her husband.

Following Kennedy's term, the close bond between the UK and the US experienced another period of strain under Labour's Harold Wilson and Democrat Lyndon Johnson. This occurred when Wilson declined Johnson's requests to deploy British forces to Vietnam.

Despite Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan sharing similar ideologies, Thatcher was incensed when she was not informed prior to the U.S. intervention in Grenada in 1983, which aimed to overthrow a Marxist government.

According to sources close to Thatcher, Reagan had remained impartial a year before during the Falklands conflict. Reagan reportedly stated that he was puzzled why two allies of the US were disputing over "that small, frigid patch of land down there."

Decades prior to the allegations of interference by Starmer's Labour in the Trump-Harris electoral contest, the Conservative Party faced charges of underhanded tactics during the 1992 presidential race between Bill Clinton and George H.W. Bush.

Throughout the election period, the Home Office reviewed immigration and nationality records to determine if Clinton had sought British citizenship during his time at Oxford University as a means to avoid the Vietnam draft. This proved to be unfounded.

Former Prime Minister John Major offered a heartfelt public apology, which President Clinton graciously accepted. In 1994, the "special relationship" was significantly strengthened when the president invited Major to visit the Pittsburgh house where his ancestors had lived and worked.

Following his visit, Major had the distinction of being the first international leader to be hosted overnight at the Clinton White House. During this time, both he and President Clinton devoted significant effort to the initial phases of the peace process in Northern Ireland, alongside their formal interactions.

Naturally, Clinton found a kindred political spirit in Tony Blair, mirroring the rapport between Reagan and Thatcher. However, it was with Republican George HW Bush that Blair, from the Labour Party, undertook the most significant campaign of his leadership: the Iraq War.

George W. Bush, having won a fiercely disputed victory over Vice President Al Gore in the 2000 presidential election, hosted Prime Minister Tony Blair at Camp David in early 2001. This meeting would turn out to be a significant historical event.

"The president was quite taken with him," he effused during their press briefing. "He really turned on the charm." How often have we heard similar remarks made about Tony Blair?

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The conversation took a more intimate turn when they were questioned about any commonalities discovered during their discussions. "Interestingly, we both prefer Colgate toothpaste," responded the president.

Swiftly, a mortified Mr. Blair interjected, "People will be curious about how you're aware of that, George."

The conflict marked a pivotal moment in Blair's ten-year tenure at Downing Street. Accusations of falsehoods regarding Saddam Hussein's alleged "weapons of mass destruction" tarnished his reputation. He faced severe criticism from the left wing of his own Labour Party, signaling the start of his political decline.

Years later, the Conservative Prime Minister, often referred to as Blair's successor, David Cameron, shared a moment of camaraderie with Democratic President Barack Obama by hosting a barbecue lunch for military families in the garden of 10 Downing Street.

On the surface, they made an odd couple: Obama, the pioneering African-American president, and Cameron, the 19th Prime Minister educated at Eton. It was often said that they shared a "transatlantic bromance" during their terms in office.

The pair of leaders frequently appeared in photos engaging in activities like ping-pong or golf, enjoying burgers, or attending basketball matches. Cameron once remarked that President Obama occasionally referred to him as "bro."

Cameron successfully convinced Obama to support the Remain side during the 2016 Brexit referendum by suggesting that the UK would end up "at the back of the queue" for trade agreements with the US if it exited the EU.

This leads us smoothly to Sir Keir, President-elect Trump, and the Prime Minister's aspirations to forge a unique bond.

On a positive note, the president holds a fondness for the UK – his mother hailed from Scotland, and he owns a couple of golf courses there. According to Sir Keir, the dinner held at Trump Tower in September was a success. The outspoken Mr. Lammy confessed that he was even offered an extra helping of chicken. "He was very gracious," he stated.

Conversely, it’s known that the current prime minister and president do not partake in cigar smoking, a stark contrast to historical figures like Churchill and Roosevelt. Additionally, the brands of toothpaste favored by them remain undisclosed, unlike the preferences of Bush and Blair which were once public

The president, known for his fondness for burgers—he even cooked some at a McDonald's while campaigning—and his preference for well-done steak with ketchup, contrasts with Sir Keir, who follows a vegetarian diet but includes fish.

However, if the traditionally reserved Harold Macmillan could forge a strong connection with the charismatic JFK and the stylish Jackie Onassis, then there's potential for Sir Keir to successfully nurture the famed "special relationship."

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Badenoch Calls on Starmer to Apologize for Lammy’s ‘Disparaging’ Remarks on Trump

Kemi Badenoch, the newly appointed Conservative leader, criticized Labour for acting like "student politicians" and urged the prime minister to extend an invitation to the incoming President Donald Trump to speak at parliament during his upcoming UK visit.

Political journalist @Journoamrogers

Wednesday, November 6, 2024, 2:

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New Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch has called on Sir Keir Starmer to issue an apology for the "disparaging" comments made by Foreign Secretary David Lammy about Donald Trump.

During her inaugural session at Prime Minister's Questions, Ms. Badenoch questioned the Labour leader about his remarks, while also extending congratulations to the president-elect for his notable victory in the U.S. election.

She quickly confronted Sir Keir about comments made by Mr. Lammy, who labeled Mr. Trump a "woman-hating, neo-Nazi-sympathising sociopath" in a 2018 magazine piece.

Speaking to Sir Keir from the despatch box, she stated: "The prime minister and the foreign secretary had a meeting with him [Mr Trump] in September.

"Did the foreign secretary seize that moment to express regret for using disparaging and offensive language, specifically referring to, and I quote, 'Trump is not only a woman-hating Neo-Nazi sympathising sociopath, he is also a profound threat to the international order'? If he did not, can the Prime Minister now apologize on his behalf?"

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The prime minister confirmed that he, alongside Mr. Lammy, had dinner with Mr. Trump in September, describing the meeting as a "very constructive exercise."

Despite being pressed on the matter, he evaded the topic of issuing an apology, merely stating his commitment to collaborate "closely" with Ms. Badenoch on national security and Ukraine matters. He emphasized, "This is what the country needs, and it significantly outweighs party politics."

In a subsequent announcement, a representative from Downing Street affirmed that Mr. Lammy would continue in his position.

"When questioned if the cabinet minister would remain in his position throughout the entire parliamentary term, despite his earlier comments about Mr. Trump, the spokesperson confirmed, 'Yes, he is the foreign secretary,'"

Former President Trump announced his win at 2:20 AM local time in Florida (7:20 AM UK time) on Wednesday, having secured 266 electoral votes against Kamala Harris's 219, with a pledge to "heal the country."

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His triumph was secured after he accumulated over 270 electoral college votes with a win in Wisconsin, and he is poised to take all seven battleground states.

Strain surfaced between the Labour Party and Trump's team following the latter's legal action against Labour for sending staff members to key US states to assist the Harris campaign, an activity the party claims is standard and customary during election seasons.

Ms. Badenoch, after winning against her opponent Robert Jenrick for the Tory leadership, criticized the Labour Party for acting like "student politicians" in response to Mr. Trump.

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She mentioned a legislative proposal endorsed by several Labour MPs that prohibited Mr. Trump from speaking in parliament during his initial term in 2017.

The leader of the Conservatives stated that Sir Keir should extend an invitation to the president-elect to speak before Parliament during his upcoming trip to the UK.

"The prime minister did not separate himself from the comments made by the foreign secretary, and I'm quite certain that President Trump will be reaching out soon to express his gratitude for dispatching all those North London Labour activists to support his rival," she stated.

"Considering the majority of his cabinet endorsed a proposal to prevent President Trump from speaking to parliament, can the prime minister demonstrate that his administration is more than mere novice politicians by requesting you, Mr Speaker, to invite President Trump to address parliament during his upcoming visit?"

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Sir Keir responded, "I appreciate the Opposition leader's demonstration of student-level political discourse.

"Indeed, it seems we are currently experiencing greater global instability than we have in many years."

"It is imperative that the robust and unique bond between the US and the UK, which was solidified under challenging conditions, remains strong."

"We will maintain our approach that we have established during our first four months in office."

Downing Street subsequently stated that the prime minister would be pleased with a visit from Mr. Trump to parliament, however, decisions concerning the House of Commons are under the jurisdiction of the Speaker.

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The UK will express significant concerns to Trump regarding his proposed tariffs, according to Reeves. Analysts have revised their economic growth predictions for the UK downwards following Trump's election win, pointing to potential tariff threats.

Political correspondent @fayebrownSky

Wednesday, November 6, 2024, 5:

Rachel Reeves has expressed her assurance that trade with the United States will persist even with President-elect Donald Trump's plans to implement tariffs.

During her appearance before the Commons Treasury Committee, the chancellor was questioned about how the outcome of the U.S. election might affect her growth strategies.

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She was informed that Goldman Sachs, the investment banking firm, has revised its prediction for the UK's economic growth next year, lowering it from 1.6% to 1.4%. Additionally, EU officials expect a decrease in exports to the US, projecting a drop of €150 billion (£125 billion).

Ms. Reeves stated that it is "premature" to alter predictions due to Mr. Trump's win, emphasizing that the UK's trade ties with the US are "extremely important."

"The United States represents our largest trading partner… the annual trade volume between our two nations is approximately £311 billion," she stated.

"I believe that the trade exchanges will persist with the incoming president."

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Is it possible for a Labour Prime Minister to work effectively with a Republican President?

Lammy describes previous critiques of Trump as 'outdated' and believes they can discover mutual interests.

A tariff is a duty imposed on goods when they are moved across international borders, and it is implemented to promote or protect national businesses.

President Trump has expressed his intention to raise import tariffs globally by 10%, and up to 60% specifically on Chinese imports, aiming to safeguard American businesses.

Sky News correspondent Paul Kelso describes the action as highly protectionist, potentially sparking a trade conflict with China and the European Union.

Ms. Reeves stated that the UK government remains committed to advocating for free trade agreements, emphasizing that they will persistently highlight the significance of maintaining open and free trade both with the United States and around the world.

"We'll get ready for various possibilities"

When questioned by the Conservative ex-Treasury official John Glen about the feasibility of swaying Mr. Trump, the Chancellor responded, "There are still a few months left until the inauguration.

"Clearly, we'll start those discussions. We'll get ready for various possible outcomes.

"I certainly don't wish to appear overly confident. However, I am hopeful about our capacity to influence the international economic policy, which we have managed to do under various administrations."

Explore further: Trump outlines key goals for a potential second term. Implications of Trump's victory for Starmer and the UK. Assessing the concerns surrounding a Trump presidency.

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Donald Trump's win in the US presidential race against Democrat Kamala Harris has elicited varied responses in the UK.

Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and the Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch each extended their congratulations on the remarkable outcome and promised to collaborate closely with him.

Stay informed about the newest developments in the UK and globally by tuning into Sky News.

Liberal Democrat leader Sir Ed Davey described it as a "dark, dark day for people around the globe," labeling Mr. Trump a "dangerous destructive demagogue."

Mr. Trump's win was solidified after he exceeded the 270 electoral college votes needed by securing Wisconsin, and he is poised to take all seven battleground states.

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Trump's unpredictability plunges UK leadership into uncertainty

In Florida, Donald Trump proclaimed a "tremendous win for the American populace" during a speech to his exuberant followers.

Political correspondent @BethRigby

Wednesday, November 6, 2024, 4:

Before it was confirmed, Sir Keir Starmer was quick to extend his congratulations to Donald Trump on Wednesday morning for his impending win, as the United States was still processing an election that initially seemed tightly contested but swiftly became a clear and decisive triumph.

The incoming president secured victories in the Electoral College, the popular vote, and the Senate.

The triumph holds significant implications, affecting not only a fragmented United States, which now sees a leader at its forefront who based his campaign on stoking fears, economic and social instability, and resentment, but also impacting the UK and Europe.

The US election has resulted in the selection of a decisive leader amid unstable conditions, and he takes office with substantial support. The way he decides to use this authority is significant for everyone.

The Labour administration will face a more challenging diplomatic situation than a Conservative government would have encountered.

Stay tuned for real-time coverage – Trump secures victory in

According to Donald Trump, despite their September dinner meeting at Trump Tower before the election, he and Sir Keir Starmer are an unlikely pairing.

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During a dinner conversation, he mentioned to the UK prime minister, "As a liberal, our views might not always align, but we can collaborate effectively."

Sir Keir, previously a human rights attorney and member of a party aligned with the Democrats, and Donald Trump, a forthright billionaire entrepreneur known for his deal-making prowess, seem like an unlikely pair.

Donald Trump places a high value on personal connections. He formed a good bond with Boris Johnson, but he didn't quite gel with Theresa May.

Sir Keir intends to remain composed and continue with his plans. Sources inform me that the Prime Minister believes "actions speak louder than words" when it comes to Trump.

It's clear that he isn't the top pick for the Labour leadership, yet the team at Number 10 is practical and has been planning for this scenario for several months.

"A senior official noted, 'There are always topics of mutual concern that go beyond partisan politics, similar to the unique alliance,'"

"Our stance is that the decision ultimately rests with the American public, who have decisively selected their preferred presidential candidate. It's our duty to ensure that this relationship benefits the UK's national interests."

"This is the reason the Prime Minister made it a point to dine with President Trump in September – and it turned out to be a highly effective meeting. Having that opportunity is fortunate as it means we are not beginning from the very beginning."

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The prime minister has dismissed several instances of potential conflict as minor, recognizing that it is not prudent to provoke further trouble.

En route to the Commonwealth summit in Samoa, President Trump's campaign team lodged a formal grievance against the Labour Party, alleging stark foreign meddling in the U.S. election to benefit the Harris campaign.

Following media coverage highlighting interactions between staff at Number 10 and the Harris team, as well as reported volunteer activities, this development occurred.

Sir Keir composedly dismissed worries and did not react to provocations, even though the Trump complaint directly implicated several of his top aides.

In recent months, Foreign Secretary David Lammy has dedicated a considerable amount of his time to engaging with Republicans, with his advocates claiming that these efforts have "yielded results."

"One supporter mentioned, 'He's become well-known and maintains a strong relationship with JD Vance.'"

Sources indicate that previous harsh critiques of President Trump by Mr. Lammy, including a time when he labeled Trump a "neo-Nazi sociopath," have since been overlooked.

"One insider emphasized that he will not harbor any resentment as long as he is treated respectfully during his tenure."

In the upcoming months, it will become clear if this is the case, but sources within the government have indicated to me that Sir Keir's decision to bring Mr Lammy to the Trump dinner in New York was intended as a way to gauge the situation.

"The evening went well. Had there been any problems, President Trump would have mentioned them," one individual noted.

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Sir Keir remained practical, but the overall atmosphere in the government was quite subdued on Wednesday, as London came to terms with Trump's victory.

Numerous Labour employees shifted their allegiance to back the Harris campaign, while various individuals from Starmer's group participated in the Democratic convention, continuing the longstanding practice between these two allied parties.

This government had hoped for a Democratic victory.

A source confided to me on Wednesday morning, expressing last-minute hopes that were dashed by the outcome: "I really held out hope until the very end that he wouldn't come out on top. But he did, and now we have to

Concerns are mounting in the UK regarding the implications of a potential second Trump presidency.

Initially, he proposed imposing universal trade tariffs ranging from 10% to 20% on all countries that do business with the U.S., but also suggested imposing even higher tariffs, up to 60%, specifically targeting China, America's main competitor.

Broad tariffs could impact billions of pounds worth of UK exports in the automotive, pharmaceutical, and alcohol sectors.

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Implications of Trump's Victory for the United Kingdom

A high-ranking official mentioned that although they have been simulating various scenarios, they remain uncertain about future developments. They observed that Trump's domestic political victory might embolden him further.

"A senior official noted, 'We are thoroughly prepared, yet one must acknowledge that unpredictability is a fundamental aspect of Trump.'"

"The UK isn't facing a trade deficit in goods with the US, which might keep us off his main target list. However, a political victory as comprehensive as this likely gives him a sense of complete validation."

These situations vary from severe trade conflicts to somewhat less aggressive trade restrictions, which the UK has already experienced under the Biden Administration's Inflation Reduction Act. This act aimed to attract companies to the US by offering extensive tax incentives worth hundreds of billions of dollars.

"The senior official noted that there might be a difference between his campaign statements and his actions once in office. They mentioned that the period leading up to his inauguration on January 20th presents a chance to make the case that tariffs could significantly affect the U.S. as well," the senior figure explained.

"It's difficult to determine the exact impact on us at this moment. There could be trade consequences, but it remains uncertain whether these will involve straightforward tariffs leading to a trade conflict with China that affects everyone, or simply minor protectionist measures, something the US has engaged in for some time."

"In a worst-case trade situation involving significant tariffs… should this occur, it would render the impact of Brexit as minor as a papercut."

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In the UK, being outside the EU and engaging in trade with China and the US, tariffs might become especially sharp and lead to internal challenges.

As a major trading country, imposing tariffs would significantly increase the prices of products.

"Implementing this would significantly alter our approach to dealing with China and Europe, and it could trigger reciprocal trade conflicts," said someone knowledgeable about the strategic planning.

"It compels us to make a decision. Should we orient ourselves more towards America, or should we turn more towards China?

"As a small trading nation, we find ourselves caught between major economic powers like the EU, China, and the US. This position leaves us particularly vulnerable, lacking major allies to align with, which could result in us facing significant pressure."

Additionally, it remains uncertain how uniform tariffs are connected to the highly praised trade agreement post-Brexit, which was once a focus for Trump but not for President Biden.

Currently, the Labour government has not specified whether or how they will reconsider their position, especially given Trump's protectionist policies and Labour's firm stance against privatizing NHS pharmaceutical services or allowing imports of genetically modified agricultural products.

The idea of imposing punitive tariffs to compel the UK to negotiate is exactly contrary to the government's desires.

Is it possible that a compromise exists?

A government representative suggests the possibility of collaboration in areas like security or technology, which would be less comprehensive than a complete trade agreement.

There is a possibility that dealmaker Trump could be receptive to such partnerships.

In terms of international relations, Donald Trump's presidency marks a substantial shift, and the British government is preparing for his unique style of diplomacy.

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Sources acknowledge that there is a great deal of uncertainty.

In this election, President Trump has concentrated primarily on the domestic issues of the US economy and border security, yet he has not explicitly outlined his strategies for engaging with global issues involving Ukraine, the Middle East, or China.

It's evident that during his initial term, Trump frequently clashed with longstanding allies, criticizing European nations for insufficient defense budgets and at times suggesting the possibility of withdrawing from NATO.

There is growing concern among some NATO countries that his comeback might result in a diminished American dedication to security in Europe and a halt to military assistance in Ukraine.

He has vowed to terminate the conflict if reelected, but has not detailed his plans for achieving this.

The same can be said for the conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza, as well as the war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Trump has vowed to achieve "peace" in the Middle East, yet he has not detailed his approach. Given his strong position on Iran, it's possible that Trump might enhance American military backing for Israel. Currently, the specifics remain vague.

During this period of change, the UK government aims to secure meetings with Trump and his advisors to advocate for the interests of both the UK and Europe.

Government sources also recognize that, following Trump's victory, there is an urgent need for European allies to boost their defense budgets.

"One UK official mentioned that their strategy would focus on his behavior instead of his statements."

"Trump met with Zelenskyy, who reaffirmed their 'productive talks' regarding the September victory strategy. However, we concur with his viewpoint that Europe should indeed increase its contributions [in terms of spending]."

Additionally, Sir Keir faces a domestic issue in this matter.

Will the success of Trump's distinctive populist and grievance-driven politics stoke similar sentiments in the UK?

The Labour Party is acutely aware of the challenge posed by the Reform Party, which secured five seats, finished as the runner-up in numerous constituencies, and garnered 14% of the total votes during the election in July.

Sir Keir's administration is aware that not fulfilling its commitments could lead to significant criticism.

There is also palpable concern within the government that Trump's victory in the US might fuel the rise of right-wing populism in Europe, particularly with Marine Le Pen currently leading the odds to be France's next president in 2027.

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President Trump has made it clear that his focus will be on domestic issues, as he reaffirmed in his victory speech his commitments to secure the US-Mexico border, deport millions of undocumented immigrants, and revitalize the US economy.

His commitments to the citizens of the United States also impact our lives.

His vow to implement broad tariffs in an effort to rejuvenate the U.S. manufacturing sector might impact our economy, and his commitment to pull back from America’s traditional role as a global enforcer towards a more isolationist stance could also jeopardize the security of Europe.

This marks the most significant political resurgence ever seen, plunging not only the United States but also its longstanding allies into uncharted territory.

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MP Mike Amesbury faces a common assault charge following an altercation on a street in Cheshire. Following the incident, he was suspended from the Labour Party and now serves as the independent MP for Runcorn and Helsby.

Political correspondent @alixculbertson

Thursday, November 7, 2024 1:12

Member of Parliament Mike Amesbury faces charges of common assault stemming from an event that occurred in Frodsham, Cheshire, the previous month.

The accusation follows the release of footage showing him allegedly knocking a man to the floor with a punch.

Cheshire Police announced that the 55-year-old individual is scheduled to appear in magistrates court at a future date to respond to the assault charge.

In an announcement, law enforcement officials stated that the accusation "is connected to allegations of an attack on a 45-year-old man located on Main Street, Frodsham, that was reported to the authorities at 2:48 am on Saturday, October 26."

Rosemary Ainslie, who leads the special crime division at the Crown Prosecution Service, stated: "After examining the evidence submitted by Cheshire Police, we have decided to charge Mike Amesbury MP, aged 55, with common assault.

The accusation stems from a reported attack that occurred in Frodsham, Cheshire, on Saturday, October 26, 2024.

"The Crown Prosecution Service emphasizes to all involved that criminal proceedings against the defendant are currently underway and that he is entitled to a fair trial."

In the UK, locals criticize lack of updates on hotel housing refugees, while the newcomers share stories of their harrowing trips.

Two individuals were discovered deceased following a residential fire in Coventry.

Princess Kate of Wales is set to participate in upcoming Remembrance ceremonies, while it remains uncertain if Queen Camilla will be present.

Stay updated on the most recent developments both in the UK and internationally by tuning into Sky News.

In a formal announcement, Mr. Amesbury expressed: "Today, I received a court summons to respond to an allegation of common assault stemming from an unfortunate event that occurred in Frodsham last month.

"I continue to collaborate with law enforcement and due to the active status of the investigation, I am unable to provide additional comments at this time."

Labour has suspended Mr. Amesbury, leading him to serve as an independent MP for Runcorn and Helsby.

A representative from the party stated that they would not be making any additional comments during the active legal process.

The House of Commons announced that Commons Speaker Sir Lindsay Hoyle has established a Risk Assessment Panel to review the matter.

A spokesperson for the House of Commons stated, "We do not provide comments on specific cases.

The House adheres to a specific procedure, outlined in Standing Order 164, to deliberate on penalties for members arrested under suspicion of committing violent or sexual offenses.

"Following that procedure, Mr. Speaker has established a Risk Assessment Panel."

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European heads of state grapple with Trump's victory at Budapest conference

Excluding the UK and several others, EU leaders gathered at today's summit will convene this evening over dinner to delve deeper into the evolving relationship across the Atlantic.

Political reporter @tamcohen

Thursday, November 7, 2024, 7:

Donald Trump did not deliver a video message to the European summit in Budapest today, despite reports that the host, Viktor Orban, had hoped for one. Nonetheless, his influence was palpable throughout the event.

UK and European officials deliberated on potential US tariffs, which might significantly affect the economy, as well as issues of migration and the situation in Ukraine, where shifts in U.S. leadership could influence the war's direction.

Allies expressed their solidarity with Kyiv through messages. Keir Starmer, among the 42 national leaders present, held a one-on-one discussion with President Zelenskyy, affirming the UK's unwavering support.

Starmer Affirms 'Special Relationship' Remains Crucial – Latest Political Updates

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen spoke more explicitly, emphasizing that it benefits all European nations to demonstrate to the world's autocrats that might does not make right, and to protect the sovereignty of nations.

Orban, who is known as Trump's main supporter in Europe and celebrated the election outcome with vodka, is the only one advocating for talks with Vladimir Putin.

Trump, who claimed he could end the conflict "in 24 hours" if re-elected, is suspected of intending to coerce Zelenskyy into ceding land to conclude the war.

The prevailing sentiment among attendees was a strong commitment to support Ukraine, though concerns were raised about Europe's capability to fully deliver on that promise.

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EU leaders, with the exception of the UK and some others who are not present today, will convene for a dinner meeting tonight to discuss the new trans-Atlantic relationship more thoroughly.

The European Political Community, convening for its fifth session, was established following Russia's incursion into Ukraine. It serves as a platform for the EU to engage with broader allies like the UK, Turkey, and nations in the Caucasus to address major security issues, including conflict and irregular migration.

This piece, reflecting on the significant implications of the US election outcome, conveyed more urgent calls regarding financial commitments. It emphasized the necessity for nations to increase their defense spending should the US reduce its involvement in European security.

Explore further: Key promises from Trump for a second term and visual representations of Trump's electoral success.

NATO's newly appointed Secretary General, Mark Rutte, stated that Trump was justified in compelling member nations to contribute their fair share, leading to a significant increase in defense spending. Currently, 22 out of the 32 member countries are allocating 2% of their GDP towards defense, which is twice the amount compared to two years ago.

However, not everyone is satisfied, and Sir Keir has encountered inquiries domestically regarding the timeline for fulfilling his campaign pledge to allocate 2.5% of the budget. He expressed satisfaction today about the recent increase in funding, yet the detailed plan to reach that goal remains vague.

Zelenskyy conveyed to journalists at the conference that he thinks Trump desires a swift conclusion to the conflict, yet he warned that attempting to do so before establishing security assurances for Ukraine could be "very dangerous".

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The German defense minister, who convened with his French counterpart shortly after Trump's victory, expressed before the summit that the predicament posed by the US was evident: "Their capacity to engage in Europe will diminish. We must bridge this shortfall to enhance our deterrence credibility."

Europe faces additional security challenges, such as sporadic immigration, an issue on which Keir Starmer is striving to rally collective efforts to demonstrate that his commitment to curbing small boat crossings is achievable.

However, it was clear that leaders were experiencing the reverberations of what might be a significant change with long-lasting effects.

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How is Starmer preparing for President Trump's visit?

Thursday, November 7, 2024, 07:54, UK

🎧 Tune into the Politics At Jack And Sam's podcast on your favorite podcast platform 🎧

Sky News' assistant political editor Sam Coates and Politico's Jack Blanchard deliver a daily overview of the upcoming political events in less than 20 minutes.

As the world grapples with the implications of Donald Trump winning a second term, what are the initial worldwide effects? Jack and Sam explore how global leaders are responding to this development during their meet-up at a summit in Budapest, which is organized by Trump's ally, Viktor Orban.

What are the financial implications of the tariffs Trump has suggested? How will they affect Ukraine? What impact will they have on politics within the United States? How are Labour Party members in the UK reconciling their previous comments about the individual with the actualities of governing?

Reach out to Jack and Sam via WhatsApp at 07511 867 633, or contact them through email at jackandsam@sky.uk.

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What preparations will Starmer make for President Trump's visit?

Thursday, November 7, 2024, 07:54, UK

🎧 Dive into the "Politics At Jack And Sam's" podcast on your favorite listening platform! 🎧

Sky News' assistant political editor Sam Coates and Politico's Jack Blanchard present a daily rundown of political events, all in less than 20 minutes.

As the prospect of Donald Trump securing a second term as president becomes more certain, what are the immediate worldwide implications? Jack and Sam explore the range of responses from international leaders as they convene for a conference in Budapest, which is organized by Trump ally Viktor Orban.

What are the financial impacts of the tariffs suggested by Trump? How will they affect Ukraine? What implications will they have for local politics in the US? How are members of the UK's Labour Party reconciling their previous comments about the leader with the practicalities of governing?

You can contact Jack and Sam via WhatsApp at 07511 867 633 or through their email: jackandsam@sky.uk

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Authorities discover four bodies in the Channel, over 50 migrants saved

Officials have initiated a probe, though it has not been confirmed by French authorities whether the deceased were migrants.

By Tomos Evans, news correspondent

Thursday, November 7, 2024, 1:

Authorities discovered four deceased individuals in the English Channel, alongside the rescue of over 50 migrants.

French officials reported that 51 individuals were saved following an incident involving a boat off the coast of Audresselles in northern France late Monday night.

On Tuesday, a ferry crew spotted a body in the sea near Calais, triggering a search that resulted in the finding of an additional body.

The French maritime authorities reported that on Wednesday, two additional bodies were discovered in the sea near Calais.

The remains of four individuals have been recovered and brought to land, prompting the initiation of an investigation. Authorities have not yet determined if the deceased were migrants.

Recent government data released on Thursday reveals that over 3,000 migrants have reached the UK via Channel crossings in the past two weeks.

Between October 24 and November 6, a record 3,197 individuals made the journey across the Channel, marking the highest fortnightly total of the year.

Starmer stakes his leadership on addressing gang issues

Local Communities Reporter

Sir Keir Starmer has staked his leadership on dismantling human trafficking networks to decrease the number of small boat arrivals.

This week marks the government's focus on the 'small boats issue,' featuring a series of appearances and announcements from the prime minister detailing his strategies for addressing it.

Sir Keir faces significant pressure to propose a feasible alternative to the recently abandoned Rwanda strategy.

His approach focuses on dismantling gang operations using intelligence-driven tactics, similar to counterterrorism methods.

At an Interpol gathering in Glasgow on Monday, the Prime Minister announced plans to double the investment in its Border Security Command, introducing advanced maritime drones and adding specialized investigators as part of new strategic measures.

There are significant concerns regarding the sufficiency of funds allocated for the plan.

The prime minister has now finalized an agreement in Hungary with nations from the Western Balkans to enhance the exchange of intelligence.

However, for these collaborative agreements to be successful, they must include countries far beyond the Balkans, specifically Spain, Italy, and Greece.

Over 31,000 migrants have traversed the channel since the start of the year, marking a 17 percent increase compared to the same timeframe last year, yet these figures don't point to any quick-fix solution.

The prime minister is targeting criminal gangs. However, these gangs originate from various countries, and as long as there is demand, criminals will continue to supply it.

Previous administrations have invested substantial amounts in efforts to halt human trafficking operations before migrants reach the northern shores of France, yet these measures have proven ineffective.

Many hold the view that the sole method to prevent asylum seekers from engaging with human trafficking networks is by creating disincentives and rendering the UK a less appealing destination.

In pursuit of these goals, the persistent issues continue to include terminating the use of hotels for asylum accommodation, halting unauthorized employment in underground economies, and expediting the deportation process. All of these challenges are formidable.

The Home Office reported that 263 individuals crossed the Channel in four boats on Wednesday.

This brings the cumulative total for the year to date to 31,535.

This represents an 18% rise from the same period last year (26,699), yet a 21% decrease from 2022's record peak of 39,929.

Stay updated with the newest developments from the UK and globally by tuning into Sky News.

The French maritime authorities report that around 50 individuals have lost their lives this year attempting to navigate the Channel.

In a session at the House of Commons, the recently assigned shadow home secretary, Mr. Philp, lambasted the government for abandoning the Conservative party's proposals on immigration, which included deporting migrants to Rwanda.

"If they had permitted that flight to proceed, if they had let the plan carry on, the deterrent impact would have begun by this point," he stated.

The International Organization for Migration (IOM) has reported eleven additional deaths presumed to be connected to crossing attempts, although these have not yet been included in the official government statistics.

Charitable organizations have stated that fatalities in the Channel are alarmingly frequent and have urged for additional measures to establish safer pathways for migrants.

Discover further details on Sky News: Exploring potential members of Donald Trump's key squad. Woman imprisoned for bringing 11-year-old to riot.

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Sir Keir Starmer will be in Hungary on Thursday to meet with leaders from the Western Balkans, and he plans to advocate for stronger relationships to combat human trafficking networks.

Before the discussions, the prime minister stated that the UK would play a central role in combating the menace of organized crime related to immigration.

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